US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DROPS, HOUSE PRICES RALLY



A second month of plunging consumer certainty as good as the gloomy opinion for the
festive deteriorate took the gleam off the receiving flight Dow Jones Industrial Index, which
had been increased in early traffic by interpretation display 7 true months of
improving residence prices.

The Dow was up 60.99 points or 0.62 per cent to 9,928.95 during 12.20 in New York,
but was off sunrise highs.

The Conference Board’s categorical consumer certainty index done the warn tumble to
47.7 points in October, down from 53.4 in September, the second dump in dual
months as good as distant from the 90 points indispensable to uncover which the US manage to buy is upon
solid footing.

The 5,000 households surveyed by the residence pronounced which their stream conditions
were bad, promulgation the Present Situation index down to 20.7 from 23, as good as which
they felt pursuit waste as good as commercial operation conditions were starting to get worse,
lowering the Expectations Index from 65.7 from 73.7.

Lynn Franco, executive of the board’s consumer investigate centre, pronounced which this
negative opinion was approaching to strike retailers which rest upon Thanksgiving as good as
Christmas sales.

“Consumers …remain utterly desperate about their destiny earnings, the view
that will approaching constrain spending during the holidays,” she said.

Ian Shepherdson, arch US economist during High Frequency Economics, warned which
shoppers were approaching to outlay even reduction than they routinely would when
showing this low turn of confidence.

“The narrowing of credit will meant weaker spending during each turn of
confidence than in the past,” he said. “Usually receiving flight batch prices progress
expectations; the miss of reply this time around is worrying.”

The US manage to buy relies upon expenditure to expostulate 70 per cent of the growth, so
falling certainty could repairs the country’s budding liberation from
recession.

Despressed by the prospect, during 11.30 markets were roughly flat. The Dow Jones
industrial normal rose 0.46 per cent to 9,913.76 points, whilst the Nasdaq
was down 0.35 per cent as good as the S&P 500 was up 0.09 per cent.

Markets had progressing been somewhat cheered by the seventh month of negligence
year-on-year declines in residence prices. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of prices
in twenty US cities was down 11.3 per cent in Aug compared to the same month
last year. The 10-city index was down 10.6 per cent.

Annual rates of decrease have been negligence given Feb as good as prices have been right away during
the same turn as in Autumn 2003.

Both indices showed which Aug prices were up some-more than 1 per cent upon July,
the fourth uninterrupted month of increases.

David Blitzer, authority of the index cabinet during Standard & Poor’s, warned,
however, which the Government is approaching to dump during the finish of Nov the
tax credit for first-time buyers which has spurred the skill market’s
improvement.

Unemployment is approaching to strike 10 per cent by the finish of the year, which will
further repairs the market.

In London the FTSE was additionally treading water, receiving flight 23.27 points or 0.45 per
cent to 5,215.01 points

The greatest riser was BP with improved than approaching third entertain
results promulgation the shares up 25.80p or 4.55 per cent to 592.9p.

Reed Elsevier additionally done ground, receiving flight 16.70 p or 3.65 per cent to
474.5p, after the bullish investigate note from Exane BNP Paribas, which upgraded
its rating upon the batch to outperform, observant the attention contracts
suggested sales expansion had resumed in the US authorised report market.

Telecoms players additionally achieved good with Cable & Wireless up 3.30p
or 2.27 per cent to 148.9p as good as Vodafone adding 2.50p or 1.83 per cent
to 138.9p.

However, promissory note bonds one after another to slide, with Royal Bank of Scotland
falling 2.6p to 41.82p as good as Lloyds Banking Group losing 2.44p to 86.9p
amid concerns about measures the European Commission might levy upon the banks
for receiving state aid.

In the FTSE 250, Yell, the debt-laden directories group, rebounded,
adding 0.95p or 1.83 per cent to 52.95p following an progressing 10 per cent
fall when it reliable which it had longed for yesterday's deadline to strech the
deal with the lenders.

In Europe Germany's DAX mislaid 0.4 per cent to 5,618.92 whilst France's CAC 40
slipped 0.2 per cent to 3,736.53.

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